Aurora Macro Strategies

Case Studies

Selected, anonymized examples of how Aurora supports decisions at institutional investors, corporate boards, and law firms. We never disclose client identities or engagement details without explicit, written consent.

Sovereign Debt Restructuring Strategy

Global Asset Manager — Multi-Billion AUM

Bespoke Research

A global fixed-income manager needed an independent, on-the-ground view of a Latin American sovereign approaching a debt restructuring decision point.

Aurora assembled a small senior team combining macroeconomic, legal-restructuring, and political analysis. We turned the engagement around in four days, in time for the client's investment committee meeting, delivering a written framework, modeled creditor recovery scenarios, and a private briefing for the portfolio team.

The client utilized Aurora's analysis as a primary input. We continue to advise on the country in question, and the client has since expanded coverage to two other Latin American economies.

Quantitative Modeling • Legal Restructuring Frameworks • LatAm Sourcing

US-China Decoupling & Supply Chain Risk

Multinational Corporation — Business Services

Bespoke Report and Executive Briefings

A multinational corporation with significant China exposure needed a clear, non-partisan read on US-China decoupling risk and what realistic scenarios meant for macroeconomic, political, and geopolitical risks over a 5-year horizon.

We delivered a bespoke report co-authored by our China and U.S. specialists, structured around Beijing's macroeconomic, political, and geopolitical trajectories.

The executive team adopted Aurora's framework as a standing reference for China-related business decisions.

Geopolitical Scenario Planning • Supply Chain Analysis

US Monetary & Fiscal Policy Subscription

Credit-Focused Macro Hedge Fund

Research Subscription

A U.S.-based, credit-focused fund wanted a continuous, conflict-free read on Federal Reserve policy and the US fiscal trajectory, with the ability to escalate to bespoke work around key events (FOMC meetings, debt-ceiling cycles, elections).

Aurora provides recurring written analysis and chartbooks, supplemented by regular call-down access to the Chief Economist around catalysts.

Now in its third year of engagement. Aurora's coverage has expanded to both global rates and subnational macroeconomic coverage.

Federal Reserve Policy Tracking • Fiscal Trajectory Modeling

Litigation-Adjacent Sovereign Debt Advisory

Global Macro Fund

Public Debt

The client needed on-the-ground advisory on public debt being litigated in the US.

Our team provided a specialized fusion of macroeconomic analysis and legal-procedural expertise to contextualize ongoing US-based litigation regarding Latin American public debt.

The client successfully integrated Aurora's unique on-the-ground intelligence into their strategy and subsequently expanded our mandate to cover their entire Latin American portfolio.

Sovereign Debt Litigation Support • Regional Political Risk

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