Brazil Election Monitor: Issue 15
October 12, 2026
Latin America
Summary
Flávio Bolsonaro enters the runoff with a strengthening polling lead, broad third-party endorsements and a right-leaning Congress, narrowing Lula’s path to a fourth term. Aurora assesses the uphill fight over abstainers and labor reform, and maps how a Flávio-aligned legislature could shape the next government.
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Brazil Election Monitor: Issue 15
