Aurora Macro Strategies

Ecuador Report: Fuel Me Once

November 6, 2026

Public DebtLatin America

Ecuador’s pre-election fuel subsidies could expire sooner than expected as President Daniel Noboa balances political pressure against an urgent fiscal adjustment. Aurora assesses the timing of higher fuel prices, the credibility of the 2027 budget, and what Noboa must deliver to bring bond yields back down before returning to market.

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Ecuador Report: Fuel Me Once