Aurora Macro Strategies

Russia-Ukraine: Springtime for Putin

October 19, 2026

GeopoliticsEurasia

Trump-Putin diplomacy is putting sanctions relief back in play and bringing the Russia-Ukraine war’s endgame into the near-term market outlook. Aurora updates its base case for the conflict, assesses the shift in regional geopolitics and maps what investors should watch as the market reprices commodities and rates.

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Russia-Ukraine: Springtime for Putin